I’ve studied the 2.25-goal line, and the chances of the over landing look pretty high to me~
Let me break it down for you. Switzerland will probably need a win if they want to finish first in the group, so they may be more inclined to take the initiative and attack, right? As for Canada, with Davies and David as two major threat points, their counterattacking danger is definitely significant! If it really turns into one side attacking while the other sits back and counters, there should be no shortage of goal-scoring chances~
Just look at the numbers: Switzerland have averaged around 2.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches, while Canada are averaging about 2.6 as well. Both teams are in decent attacking form. On top of that, Canada’s midfield core Kone is out injured, which could affect the quality of their midfield defending, and Switzerland may find it easier to break through the back line.
Also, to be honest, the 2.25 line isn’t especially high. If both sides score once, it’s already there. In their last matches, Switzerland beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 4-1 and Canada thrashed Qatar 6-0. The opposition strength was different, of course, but at least it shows both teams are feeling good in attack.
Of course, the risks have to be made clear too. If Canada opt for a more cautious approach, or if both sides are tentative early on, the line could still get stuck. I’m not saying it’s 100% safe—football is never absolute, after all~ But considering motivation, attacking firepower, and injury impact, I think the value on over 2.25 is still higher.