Round 8 of the Norwegian First Division sees Asane host Sandnes. This is a clash between the bottom side and the 11th-placed team, and while the home side are still without a win, tonight could be their chance to pick up points.
Asane are 0 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses after seven league matches this season, and they have lost all three home games. The numbers are dreadful. But on closer inspection, the three home defeats came against two teams sitting in the top half of the table, both tough opponents. Against Stromsgodset, they were given a 1.5-goal head start, so the defeat was within expectations. More importantly, Asane have won all of their last three home meetings with Sandnes, giving them a clear psychological edge in the head-to-head record. Although starting striker Rossi is suspended after a red card, that home-ground confidence should not be overlooked.
Sandnes have taken one win and two defeats from three away matches, with that victory coming in a 2-0 win over Lyn, which was of limited value. Against defensively oriented teams on the road, Sandnes have not shown particularly strong breaking-down ability.
In the odds market, bookmakers have generally opened with the visitors at 0 or 0.5, but Sandnes’ price has kept rising from the opening line to the closing line, reaching a high level of 0.95-0.96, while Asane’s price has remained in the low range of 0.84-0.88. For a stronger away team in better form to be offering such a weak handicap while the price rises is a clear sign of insufficient support.
Asane may already be at rock bottom, but with a perfect home record against Sandnes and the market sending a signal of weakness toward the visitors, the home side have a chance to stop the losing streak in this match.